Use case · Wind Generation Forecasting

Stop Paying for Missed Wind Ramps

DOTA AI learns from your own turbine, weather and output history, builds and validates a forecast, and publishes day-ahead confidence bands with ramp alerts.

Explainer video in production

The interactive walkthrough for Stop Paying for Missed Wind Ramps is being produced. The full use case is below.

Illustrative data. No real utility names or plant names are used.

11.8% to 7.4%
Forecast error (nMAE)
$1.3M/yr
Imbalance exposure
P10 to P90
Day-ahead bands
Built for

Renewable operations, scheduling and trading teams, asset owners

The problem

Every megawatt your day-ahead wind forecast misses can come back as imbalance charges, and a better model usually means a data science project.

With DOTA AI

DOTA AI learns from your own turbine, weather and output history, builds and validates a forecast, and publishes day-ahead confidence bands with ramp alerts.

How it works

From a question to a deployed app.

01

Ask

Build a day-ahead wind forecast from our own history and show how it performs.

02

Connect

Turbine SCADA from PI, met mast wind speed, weather forecasts and actual output.

03

Model

DOTA builds and tests the model, and shows the metrics before anyone relies on it.

04

Operate

Operators get day-ahead bands and early warning before a big ramp.

What you see
  • Off-the-shelf forecasts miss the big ramps
  • Forecast error cut from 11.8% to 7.4% nMAE
  • Day-ahead forecast with P10 to P90 confidence bands
  • Ramp alert: down 180 MW, 14:00 to 16:00
  • Glassbox: every model step is visible
Source systems
Turbine SCADA (PI)Met mastWeather forecastsHistorical output

The takeaway

Better forecasts, built on your data.

Build stop paying for missed wind ramps on your data.

See DOTA AI build a real utility app on your data in a 30-minute working session.